Dr. Paolo Scussolini
Researcher and lecturer at the Water and Climate Risk department of IVM
- paolo.scussolini@vu.nl
Our research
I want to understand drivers of changes in hydro-climatic extremes and hazards, how they affect societies, and what measures can be taken to mitigate risk. Together with other top researchers at the Water and Climate Risk department of the Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) of the VU Amsterdam, we apply multidisciplinary methods and integrate a large range of models and datasets to tackle the key questions about hydro-climatic risk: what are the physical mechanisms behind them, how are they changing, how do socio-economies cope with those risks, and how do people influence risk patterns and adapt to it. Core topics of our research include: climate dynamics and climate extremes, floods, droughts, sea level rise, cyclones, (multi-hazard) risk, data-driven methods like machine learning and causality analysis, climate adaptation and disaster risk reduction. We work both at the global and at the urban scale. We study the past, to better understand the physical and social systems, and we apply this knowledge to project future changes. We are always busy creating new ideas to bring these scientific challenges ahead, and we want to find excellent PhD candidates that are prepared to work with us on this and to think independently.
Relevant publications
"Adaptation to Sea Level Rise: A Multidisciplinary Analysis for Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam."
- Authors:
- Scussolini, P., T. T. V. Tran, E. Koks, A. Diaz-Loaiza, P. L. Ho and R. Lasage (2017).
- In:
- Water Resources Research 53(12): 10841-10857.
"A global framework for future costs and benefits of river-flood protection in urban areas."
- Authors:
- Ward, P. J., B. Jongman, J. C. J. H. Aerts, P. D. Bates, W. J. W. Botzen, A. Diaz Loaiza, S. Hallegatte, J. M. Kind, J. Kwadijk, P. Scussolini and H. C. Winsemius (2017).
- In:
- Nature Clim. Change 7(9): 642-646.
"Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial."
- Authors:
- Scussolini, P., P. Bakker, C. Guo, C. Stepanek, Q. Zhang, P. Braconnot, J. Cao, M.-V. Guarino, D. Coumou, M. Prange, P. J. Ward, H. Renssen, M. Kageyama, B. Otto-Bliesner and J. C. J. H. Aerts (2019).
- In:
- Science Advances 5(11): eaax7047.
"FLOPROS: an evolving global database of flood protection standards."
- Authors:
- Scussolini, P., J. C. J. H. Aerts, B. Jongman, L. M. Bouwer, H. C. Winsemius, H. de Moel and P. J. Ward (2016).
- In:
- Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 16(5): 1049-1061.
"The influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude summer circulation."
- Authors:
- Coumou, D., G. Di Capua, S. Vavrus, L. Wang and S. Wang (2018).
- In:
- Nature Communications 9(1): 2959.
"River flood risk in Jakarta under scenarios of future change."
- Authors:
- Budiyono, Y., J. C. J. H. Aerts, D. Tollenaar and P. J. Ward (2016).
- In:
- Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 16(3): 757-774.
"A global reanalysis of storm surges and extreme sea levels."
- Authors:
- Muis, S., M. Verlaan, H. C. Winsemius, J. C. Aerts and P. J. Ward (2016).
- In:
- Nat Commun 7: 11969.
"Drought in the Anthropocene."
- Authors:
- Van Loon, A. F., T. Gleeson, J. Clark, A. I. J. M. Van Dijk, K. Stahl, J. Hannaford, G. Di Baldassarre, A. J. Teuling, L. M. Tallaksen, R. Uijlenhoet, D. M. Hannah, J. Sheffield, M. Svoboda, B. Verbeiren, T. Wagener, S. Rangecroft,...(2016)
- In:
- Nature Geoscience 9(2): 89-91.
"A global multi-hazard risk analysis of road and railway infrastructure assets."
- Authors:
- Koks, E. E., J. Rozenberg, C. Zorn, M. Tariverdi, M. Vousdoukas, S. A. Fraser, J. W. Hall and S. Hallegatte (2019).
- In:
- Nature Communications 10(1): 2677.
"Evaluating Flood Resilience Strategies for Coastal Megacities."
- Authors:
- Aerts, J. C. J. H., W. J. W. Botzen, K. Emanuel, N. Lin, H. de Moel and E. O. Michel-Kerjan (2014).
- In:
- Science 344(6183): 473-475.